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OWL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Stabilized AUM growth and strategic M&A activities position OWL for potential outperformance, despite economic uncertainties, as seen in its robust options trading volume.

Bearish Case: OWL faces potential pressure from increasing borrower defaults amid economic headwinds, indicated by elevated implied volatility in options markets.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of sustained AUM growth if economy maintains stability.
30% likelihood of increasing defaults due to economic pressures.
10% potential for significant M&A-driven growth.

April 18, 2025

Blue Owl Forecast

OWL Blue Owl

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OWL

CG Carlyle (0.93)

MAC Macerich (0.91)

RJF Raymond James Financial (0.89)

AXP American Express (0.87)

EWBC East West Bancorp (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OWL

CMCSA Comcast (-0.0)

FE Firstenergy (0.01)

FDX Fedex (0.01)

CZR Caesars Entertainment (0.01)

PHM PulteGroup (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OWL

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.75)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.77)

SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.8)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.8)

DOG ProShares Short Dow30 (-0.83)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.