Bullish Case: PAG's stable price trend, robust financials, consistent dividend growth, and potential undervaluation based on historical growth and strong demand in the automotive market favor a bullish perspective.


Bearish Case: Persistent insider selling, high debt-to-equity ratio, potential overvaluation based on DCF, and recent selling by institutional investors suggest a bearish outlook due to perceived financial risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Sustained dividend increases attract investors, PAG rises (~40%).

2) Further insider selling causes a dip (~35%).

3) Overreaction to bearish sentiment creating a buying opportunity (~25%).


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April 04, 2024


Penske Automotive Forecast

PAG        Penske Automotive
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with PAG



W Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [W]  Wayfair (0.89)


RH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [RH]  RH - (0.8)


ABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ABR]  Arbor Realty (0.8)


JOBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [JOBY]  Joby Aviation (0.78)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LEA]  Lear (0.78)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to PAG



WTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [WTI]  W & T Offshore (0.0)


ASPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ASPN]  Aspen Aerogels (0.0)


AES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AES]  AES (0.0)


PAAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PAAS]  Pan American Silver (0.0)


MSOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MSOS]  Advisorshares Trust - AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against PAG



FL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FL]  Foot Locker (-0.41)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VSCO]  Victoria's Secret (-0.42)


KHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [KHC]  Kraft Heinz (-0.43)


UGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UGL]  ProShares Ultra Gold (-0.44)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UVIX]  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.59)





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