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PB Forecast



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Strong macroeconomic indicators and improved loan growth could drive PB's stock up, supported by historical returns showing a likelihood of positive performance over the medium term.



Bearish Case: Increased insider selling and potentially compressed net interest margins may lead to downward pressure, reflected in high implied volatility signaling market skepticism.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Loan growth improves (30% chance).

2) Insider selling persists (25% chance).

3) Increased regulatory scrutiny affects performance (20% chance).

4) Positive earnings surprise stimulates price rise (25% chance).



Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a bullish strategy via debit spreads, focusing on PB call options with April expirations and strikes around $90, relying on high implied volatility to leverage upward price movements while minimizing risk exposure.


December 15, 2024


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PB        Prosperity Bancshares

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PB


SSB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSB  SouthState (0.96)


KIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KIM  Kimco Realty (0.93)


USB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USB  U.S. Bancorp. (0.91)


VRNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNA  Verona Pharma (0.9)


VNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNO  Vornado Realty (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PB


AMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPL  Amplitude (-0.0)


ADBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADBE  Adobe (0.01)


IAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAC  IAC InterActiveCorp. (-0.01)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.01)


RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PB


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.75)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.77)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.81)


SMCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMCI  Super Micro Computer (-0.86)


LRCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRCX  Lam Research (-0.89)


PB News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.







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