AI PEO Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: PEO's historical return surface shows strong returns over varying holding periods, with high likelihood of positive outcomes for long-term investors. Institutional interest and recovery in energy markets further bolster optimism.


Bearish Case: Current flat price action suggests a slowdown in momentum, with external factors like economic downturns or geopolitical events posing risks. A high implied volatility indicates market uncertainty, potentially dragging prices lower.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued price appreciation (40%);

2. Price stagnation (30%);

3. Significant bearish correction due to external shocks (30%). These estimates reflect recent trends, historical data, and economic indicators.


Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread using PEO 25C and 30C options expiring in November 2024. This setup captures upside potential with favorable risk/reward, leveraging low volatility while positioning for expected gains. Monitor for increased volatility before executing.


August 13, 2024


Adams Natural Resources Forecast

PEO      Adams Natural Resources











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PEO



MGY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGY  Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (0.91)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.91)


VDE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VDE  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Energy (0.91)


ERX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERX  Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares (0.87)


STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STAA  Staar Surgical (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PEO



ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (0.0)


LITE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LITE  Lumentum (0.0)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.0)


INSP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSP  Inspire Medical Systems (-0.0)


APD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APD  Air Products & Chemicals (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PEO



LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.77)


NKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKE  Nike (-0.81)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.81)


DRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRIP  Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. (-0.86)


ERY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERY  Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X Shares (-0.91)





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