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AI PFD Forecast

Bullish Case: Despite recent stagnation, PFD could see upside driven by easing interest rates and seasonal buying interest, which historically supports price recovery in holding periods extending beyond 1-2 years.

Bearish Case: Weak fundamentals and higher inflation could lead PFD to further stagnation or a decline, given the historical correlations of price performance struggling under similar economic conditions.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Seasonal recovery (40%): Driven by summer trends.

2. Market stagnation (30%): As investors await clearer signals.

3. Continued depreciation (30%): Due to weak economic fundamentals affecting investor sentiment.

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September 20, 2024

Flaherty & Crumrine Preferred and Income Forecast

PFD Flaherty & Crumrine Preferred and Income

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PFD

VIG Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.94)

DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (0.94)

DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.94)

ISRG Intuitive Surgical (0.94)

BURL Burlington Stores (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PFD

LPLA LPL Financial (-0.0)

GIII G-III Apparel (0.0)

STAA Staar Surgical (-0.0)

CGC Canopy Growth (0.0)

SNAP Snapchat (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PFD

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.92)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.92)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)

SDOW ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.94)

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