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PFE Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Pfizer's expansive pipeline in oncology and immunology, alongside recent FDA approvals, offers potential for robust growth, signaling optimism.



Bearish Case: Ongoing legal issues and declining COVID-19 revenue continue to weigh on Pfizer, maintaining pressure on its stock price with potential stagnation.



Potential Outcomes: High probability that Pfizer stabilizes due to pipeline success (60%), with a moderate risk of negative financial impacts from legal challenges (40%).



Trading Oracle: Leverage flat term structure by executing a slightly bullish debit spread: buy $25 calls and sell $27 calls, expiring in 90 days. This captures a potential upward movement fueled by upcoming drug approvals, balancing risk effectively in current market conditions.


February 11, 2025


Pfizer Forecast

PFE        Pfizer

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