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PFE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Pfizer's expansive pipeline in oncology and immunology, alongside recent FDA approvals, offers potential for robust growth, signaling optimism.

Bearish Case: Ongoing legal issues and declining COVID-19 revenue continue to weigh on Pfizer, maintaining pressure on its stock price with potential stagnation.

Potential Outcomes: High probability that Pfizer stabilizes due to pipeline success (60%), with a moderate risk of negative financial impacts from legal challenges (40%).

Trading Oracle: Leverage flat term structure by executing a slightly bullish debit spread: buy $25 calls and sell $27 calls, expiring in 90 days. This captures a potential upward movement fueled by upcoming drug approvals, balancing risk effectively in current market conditions.

February 11, 2025

Pfizer Forecast

PFE Pfizer

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PFE

UWMC UWM Holdings Corporation (0.83)

REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (0.81)

OGN Organon (0.78)

TMDX Transmedics (0.74)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (0.74)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PFE

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RACE Ferrari (-0.0)

PRU Prudential Financial (-0.0)

DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (0.0)

RGLD Royal Gold (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PFE

WHR Whirlpool (-0.66)

TALK Talkspace (-0.69)

PLBY PLBY (-0.69)

NET Cloudflare (-0.72)

PAYC Paycom Software (-0.75)

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