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PFIS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: PFIS's strategic capital raises and potential merger synergies, along with historically strong returns over longer holding periods, indicate upward potential. The recent price increase of 15% in 60 days supports this view.



Bearish Case: PFIS faces challenges from rising deposit rates and competition, along with limited cash reserves and rising liabilities. Current market skepticism and a -3.7% drop in the past month highlight downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings growth from merger synergies (40%).

2. Continued decline due to competition (60%).

3. Market perception shifts causing mild correction (70%).


June 20, 2025


Peoples Financial Services Forecast

PFIS        Peoples Financial Services

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Anticorrelated Assets

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