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PSA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Public Storage (PSA) exhibits resilience as its well-placed assets in high-demand areas could lead to sustained revenue growth. Implied volatility trends suggest potential for price recovery as market conditions improve.



Bearish Case: Despite solid fundamentals, PSA could face headwinds from market oversupply and rising interest rates, negatively impacting cash flows and stock price, evidenced by recent high implied volatility metrics.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Market recovery boosts PSA price (30%)
  • Increased competition leads to price drops (40%)
  • Stable market conditions sustain PSA at current levels (20%)
  • Unexpected economic downturn declines demand (10%)



Trading Oracle: Short volatility via a bear call credit spread around the $300-$310 strike range, capitalizing on high implied volatility. Given the current bearish sentiment, aim for 75% chance of profit over a 30-day horizon, with potential returns of over 30% based on current Helium model analyses.


December 20, 2024


Public Storage Forecast

PSA        Public Storage

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSA


EXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXR  Extra Space Storage (0.95)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.95)


REG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REG  Regency Centers (0.93)


BNL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNL  Broadstone Net Lease (0.92)


EVGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVGO  EVgo (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSA


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (-0.01)


CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCJ  Cameco (-0.01)


BE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BE  Bloom Energy (0.02)


IGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGT  International Game Technology (-0.02)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSA


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (-0.8)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.8)


GNTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GNTX  Gentex (-0.81)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.84)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.85)







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