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Bullish Case: The recent increase in institutional support and favorable earnings outlooks suggest a potential for upward price momentum. Given PSO’s historical returns over longer holding periods, a bullish trend is plausible, particularly if upcoming catalysts align favorably.

Bearish Case: High insider selling and ongoing legal challenges raise significant concerns for PSO, potentially leading to downward price pressure. The elevated implied volatility indicates market uncertainty, increasing the risk of a bearish shift in price.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Modest recovery (30%): If positive fundamentals materialize.

2. High volatility (25%): Ongoing legal issues could cause price swings.

3. Decline below $12 (20%): Increased insider selling impacts confidence.

4. Sustained stability around $13.50 (25%): Current market trend holds without significant catalysts.

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October 03, 2024