QCLN Forecast


Bullish Case: QCLN benefits from substantial government green energy subsidies, diversification in holdings, and potential for significant appreciation fueled by clean energy trends.


Bearish Case: Historical returns show volatility with potential for substantial losses. Current negative trajectory and high implied volatility suggest caution against extended bullish bets.


Potential Outcomes: High probability (70%) of moderate returns due to green energy subsidies. Moderate chance (50%) of ongoing volatility and losses. Low chance (10%) of extremely poor performance due to policy changes.


Trading Oracle: Deploy a strategy consisting of credit spreads (Helium Short Volatility) due to higher implied volatility. Sell 34.00 Puts (Sept expiry) and buy 33.00 Puts to capitalize on premium decay. Target holding: 60-90 days. High reward:risk profile.


June 30, 2024


First Trust Nasdaq Clean Edge Green Energy Index Forecast

QCLN      First Trust Nasdaq Clean Edge Green Energy Index











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with QCLN



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.73)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.44)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.24)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.4)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to QCLN



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.24)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.4)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.44)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.73)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against QCLN



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.73)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.44)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.24)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.4)





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