Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: Increasing global investment in quantum computing, coupled with progress in error correction methods, could position QUBT for significant market share expansion, especially in sectors like AI and cybersecurity.

Bearish Case: Heightened competition from emerging technologies and persistent technical challenges in quantum computing may hinder QUBT's growth, leading to potential stagnation in its market position.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 30% chance of a breakthrough in error correction leading to wider adoption of QUBT.


2. 25% probability regulatory challenges slow growth (e.g., international tech export restrictions).


3. 20% chance of QUBT facing strong competition from novel quantum startups.


4. 15% chance of significant investment influx propelling QUBT prices.


5. 10% chance of stagnation due to unresolved technical hurdles.

Trading Oracle: Consider a long-dated debit spread on QUBT call options targeting the January 2025 expirations with a strike around $5. With implied volatility at 250%, this captures substantial upside while mitigating risk in case of volatility. Employing this strategy aligns with a bullish outlook given rising investment interest and technological advancements anticipated in the coming months.

November 14, 2024