R Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Positive investor sentiment following Ryder's acquisition of Cardinal Logistics could drive stock demand, supported by recent upgrades from Fitch Ratings, suggesting strong financial performance ahead.


Bearish Case: Continued low implied volatility and trading volume may signal a lack of investor interest, with potential macroeconomic pressures possibly inhibiting stock performance and leading to stagnation.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 40%: Recovery in demand boosts prices, supported by improved financial metrics.

2. 30%: Market maintains status quo, leading to price stability.

3. 20%: Increased volatility undermines confidence, reducing prices.

4. 10%: Significant external event triggers sharp decline.


Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying the $130 call and selling the $135 call expiring August 2024. This capitalizes on positive momentum post-acquisition while limiting risk given low implied volatility. Favorable reward-to-risk ratio aligns well with Helium’s outlook.


July 25, 2024


Ryder System Forecast

R      Ryder System











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