R Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: R's stabilization is supported by a 49% bullish risk, historical return trends, and a solid long-term performance (132.4% over five years). The low price-to-book ratio indicates potential undervaluation.


Bearish Case: Despite steady returns, the flat implied volatility term structure signals high uncertainty, suggesting potential resistance to significant upward movements. Market disinterest due to ongoing volatility concerns might hinder growth.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 55% chance of moderate growth due to undervaluation and stable outlook;

2) 30% chance of price stagnation amidst market uncertainty;

3) 15% chance of decline from unforeseen negative events.


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May 21, 2024


Ryder System Forecast

R      Ryder System











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to R



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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against R



MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.88)


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UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.91)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.93)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.93)





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