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RACE Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Ferrari's innovation, brand prestige, and uptake among millennials and Gen Z support bullish sentiment. The potential for strong sales and brand recognition boosts RACE prospects.



Bearish Case: Macroeconomic uncertainties and competition, especially in the EV sector, could affect Ferrari's market share negatively. Underwhelming F1 results could further pressure stock prices.



Potential Outcomes: 30% probability of successful F1 seasons boosting investor sentiment. 25% chance of continued competitive pressure affecting market share. 20% potential for negative macroeconomic impacts affecting demand.



Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility Strategy: Sell ATM put options and buy OOTM put options to capitalize on mean reversion and high implied volatility. This leverages stable volatility outlook, offering profitable risk-return balance.


March 18, 2025


Ferrari Forecast

RACE        Ferrari

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RACE


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.8)


DTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DTE  DTE Energy (0.77)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (0.76)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.76)


INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RACE


AAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAL  American Airlines (0.0)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.0)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.01)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.01)


XPOF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPOF  Xponential Fitness (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RACE


SYNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SYNA  Synaptics (-0.66)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.66)


CLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLW  Clearwater Paper (-0.68)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.69)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (-0.76)







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