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ROAD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Increased infrastructure spending and tech advancements likely boost ROAD. Moderate implied volatilities signal upward potential.

Bearish Case: Ongoing labor shortages and regulatory pressures could elevate costs and restrict growth, despite infrastructure investment opportunities.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of increased infrastructure investment boosting ROAD above $95, 30% chance labor shortages continue, slowing growth.

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December 24, 2024

Construction Forecast

ROAD Construction

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ROAD

KKR KKR (0.97)

RSI Rush Street Interactive (0.95)

SPLG SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.95)

MLI Mueller Industries (0.95)

SPYV SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ROAD

FANG Diamondback Energy (-0.0)

ATUS Altice USA (-0.0)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.0)

GSG BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed (-0.02)

UWMC UWM Holdings Corporation (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ROAD

IEP Icahn (-0.89)

DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.89)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.89)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.93)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)

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