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RTX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RTX's diversification into advanced technologies and ongoing defense contracts indicate strong growth potential, evidenced by steady implied volatility.

Bearish Case: Legal challenges and geopolitical tensions risk destabilizing RTX, as reflected in elevated short-term implied volatility and mean-reverting price action.

Potential Outcomes: Growth via contracts (65%) due to strong defense position. Supply/legal issues (20%) may disrupt operations. Geopolitical conflicts (15%) could influence spending positively, albeit unpredictably.

May 15, 2025

Raytheon Forecast

RTX Raytheon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RTX

BABA Alibaba (0.89)

AGI Alamos Gold (0.87)

PPL PPL (0.86)

ITA BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.86)

COMP Compass (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RTX

LAC Lithium Americas (0.0)

ROK Rockwell Automation (0.01)

ETNB 89bio (-0.01)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (0.01)

PLD Prologis (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RTX

ASH Ashland (-0.76)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.77)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.78)

NUVB Nuvation Bio (-0.79)

M Macy's (-0.8)

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