RTX Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: RTX could see a rebound as defense spending surges with new contracts and geopolitical tensions rise, driving stock prices higher.




Bearish Case: Ongoing legal issues, including the recent $950 million settlement for fraud, could further erode investor confidence and suppress stock prices.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Increased defense contracts boost RTX by 55%.
  2. Legal troubles lead to a 30% decline in stock value.
  3. Geopolitical tensions stabilize, resulting in a 10% drop.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying RTX January 2025 $120 calls and selling $125 calls. The current implied volatility is high, and potential upside seems robust. Opting for this spread balances risk and maximizes profit potential as defense contracts increase.



December 21, 2024


Raytheon Forecast

RTX        Raytheon











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