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RTX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RTX's strong defense contracts and R&D investments drive growth, supported by commercial aerospace recovery and geopolitical tensions increasing demand.

Bearish Case: Potential legal issues and supply chain disruptions could hinder growth. Geopolitical risks and high implied volatility indicate uncertainty in RTX's future.

Potential Outcomes: Successful contract expansions (65%)
Legal/supply chain hurdles (20%)
Geopolitical instability (15%)

March 16, 2025

Raytheon Forecast

RTX Raytheon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RTX

DTE DTE Energy (0.9)

SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility (0.89)

SATS EchoStar (0.89)

KGC Kinross Gold (0.88)

PM Philip Morris International (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RTX

SU Suncor Energy (0.0)

DDOG Datadog (0.0)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (0.01)

IR Ingersoll-Rand (-0.01)

TAL TAL Education (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RTX

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.81)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.82)

SHLS Shoals (-0.85)

ATKR Atkore (-0.85)

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (-0.85)

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