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RTX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RTX could benefit from geopolitical tensions increasing defense spending. Bullish sentiment shown by higher call option volume supports potential growth.

Bearish Case: Legal challenges and geopolitical instability pose risks. The backwardation in implied volatility suggests short-term uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued defense contract growth (60%).

2. Legal/political disruption (20%).

3. Technological advancements beat forecasts (20%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread. Buy $120 calls and sell $125 calls expiring February 21, 2025. Current implied volatility suggests limited downside, with favorable bullish risk signals.

January 15, 2025

Raytheon Forecast

RTX Raytheon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RTX

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.94)

PPA Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco Aerospace & Defense (0.94)

GLD SPDR Gold Shares (0.93)

TT Trane (0.92)

EIX Edison International (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RTX

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.01)

WPC W. P. Carey (0.01)

PEP Pepsico (0.02)

S Sprint (0.02)

GTLS Chart Industries (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RTX

SHLS Shoals (-0.88)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.88)

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (-0.9)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.9)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.92)

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