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RTX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RTX benefits from strong defense contracts and technological advancements. High call option volume reflects investor optimism, with a robust backlog driving future growth.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions pose significant risks. Backwardation in the volatility term structure indicates short-term uncertainty, potentially impacting investor sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance: Continued contract wins boost growth.
20% chance: Legal or supply disruptions hinder progress.
20% chance: Geopolitical tensions affect market negatively.

June 20, 2025

Raytheon Forecast

RTX Raytheon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RTX

ITA BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.86)

PAYX Paychex (0.86)

PM Philip Morris International (0.85)

BABA Alibaba (0.84)

ATO Atmos Energy (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RTX

OKE Oneok (-0.0)

VMC Vulcan Materials (-0.0)

RVLV Revolve (-0.01)

SIRI Sirius XM (0.01)

XP XP (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RTX

AXL American Axle & Manufacturing (-0.75)

FDX Fedex (-0.75)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.75)

NUVB Nuvation Bio (-0.77)

M Macy's (-0.78)

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