SAN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Banco Santander's strategic digital expansion and favorable interest rate environment could enhance profit margins, driving a bullish outlook amidst historical mean reversion tendencies.




Bearish Case: Economic headwinds, particularly in Spain and Brazil, coupled with high implied volatility, suggest downside risks for Banco Santander, inhibiting recovery from chronic underperformance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30%: Digital success boosts margins.
  • 30%: Economic challenges in Spain dampen growth.
  • 20%: Geopolitical tensions spark volatility.
  • 20%: Successful partnerships enhance revenue.




Trading Oracle:

Adopting a Bearish Long Volatility strategy is justified due to SAN's uncertainty and high implied volatility. Buying OOTM puts could capture potential downside, while selling fewer deeper OOTM puts hedges excessive volatility risk. The strategy aligns with observed market conditions and SAN's historical trends.



April 20, 2025


Banco Santander Forecast

SAN        Banco Santander











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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAN



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FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (-0.67)









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