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SAN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Banco Santander shows significant recovery potential with recent digital transformations and favorable interest rates improving margins. A price-to-book ratio of 0.6 indicates undervaluation, suggesting room for growth.

Bearish Case: Economic headwinds in Europe and Brazil, along with high market volatility, could suppress SAN's growth. Persistent regulatory challenges add to the downside risk, with the historical trend indicating a low probability of substantial returns.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Digital growth boosts margins (40%).

2. Economic downturn continues (30%).

3. Regulatory impacts limit growth (20%).

4. Geopolitical tensions induce volatility (10%).

June 10, 2025

Banco Santander Forecast

SAN Banco Santander

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SAN

EWP BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Spain (0.95)

FNV Franco-Nevada (0.89)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.88)

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (0.85)

EQX Equinox Gold (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SAN

MMYT MakeMyTrip (-0.0)

OUST Ouster (0.01)

BIP Brookfield Infrastructure (-0.02)

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.02)

BEPC Brookfield Renewable (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAN

AMCX AMC Networks (-0.76)

SAM Boston Beer Co. (-0.76)

CAL Caleres (-0.76)

MTN Vail Resorts (-0.77)

M Macy's (-0.79)

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