SFTBY Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SoftBank's substantial AI investments and the transition of alliances with OpenAI may catalyze growth opportunities, especially if AI technologies mature rapidly.




Bearish Case: SoftBank's large-scale losses and reliance on volatile tech investments expose it to sustained financial risk, further exacerbated by historical return volatility and strategic overextensions.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful AI ventures lead to growth (40%).

2. Regulatory hurdles impede progress (30%).

3. Continued investment missteps cause losses (30%).



March 18, 2025


SoftBank Forecast

SFTBY        SoftBank











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SFTBY



ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (0.61)


BOTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOTZ  Global X Funds Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelli (0.54)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.54)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.53)


IVW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVW  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P 500 Growth (0.51)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SFTBY



CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CB  Chubb (-0.0)


RHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RHI  Robert Half International (0.0)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.0)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.01)


FUL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUL  H.B. Fuller (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SFTBY



LU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LU  Lufax Holding Ltd (-0.33)


GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (-0.33)


PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (-0.4)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.47)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (-0.49)









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