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SFTBY Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SoftBank's substantial AI investments and the transition of alliances with OpenAI may catalyze growth opportunities, especially if AI technologies mature rapidly.

Bearish Case: SoftBank's large-scale losses and reliance on volatile tech investments expose it to sustained financial risk, further exacerbated by historical return volatility and strategic overextensions.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful AI ventures lead to growth (40%).

2. Regulatory hurdles impede progress (30%).

3. Continued investment missteps cause losses (30%).

March 18, 2025

SoftBank Forecast

SFTBY SoftBank

Price Forecast
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SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.53)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SFTBY

RRR Red Rock Resorts (0.0)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.01)

VOD Vodafone (-0.01)

YANG Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)

BDX Becton, Dickinson And Company (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SFTBY

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.37)

PEP Pepsico (-0.4)

ABEV Ambev (-0.43)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.47)

TSN Tyson Foods (-0.49)

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