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SHOP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SHOP's integration with platforms like Roblox enhances revenue streams, supporting continued growth through e-commerce innovations.

Bearish Case: High competition from Amazon and ongoing legal issues may hinder SHOP's growth, exacerbated by recent stock decline and elevated volatility.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Revenue growth via partnerships (50%).

2) Legal challenges impact growth (30%).

3) Competitive pressures weigh (20%).

Trading Oracle: Trade bullish debit spreads targeting March 2025 expirations, capitalizing on high implied volatility. Focus on $110-$115 strike calls, leveraging Shopify's partnerships and innovation-driven growth potential for high reward-risk.

January 16, 2025

Shopify Forecast

SHOP Shopify

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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ILMN Illumina (0.84)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHOP

TSN Tyson Foods (-0.0)

ADT ADT (-0.01)

CLB Core Laboratories (-0.01)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.02)

AL Air Lease Corp (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHOP

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.76)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.79)

ST Sensata (-0.8)

VAL Valaris (-0.83)

OGN Organon (-0.87)

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