SIL Forecast




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Growing industrial demand for silver could drive SIL prices up, especially if inflationary pressures escalate, as silver is traditionally viewed as a hedge. The recent uptick in buying activity and implied volatility supports this bullish sentiment.




Bearish Case: Heightened market volatility and historical performance suggest potential downside risk. Geopolitical tensions or macroeconomic changes could negatively impact silver prices, leading to a bearish trend in SIL.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 1) Rally towards $37 (40% chance).
  • 2) Price stabilizes around $34 (35% chance).
  • 3) Decline to $30 influenced by bearish sentiment (25% chance).




Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread: buy SIL 01/17/2025 $36 call and sell $38 call. Capture upside with limited risk as implied volatility is relatively high. Target a short to mid-term horizon while monitoring economic signals that may influence silver demand.



December 20, 2024


Global X Funds - Global X Silver Miners Forecast

SIL        Global X Funds - Global X Silver Miners











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SIL



JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.97)


RGLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGLD  Royal Gold (0.94)


WPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPM  Wheaton Precious Metals (0.94)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (0.94)


VWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VWO  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SIL



AKBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKBA  Akebia Therapeutics (-0.0)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (0.0)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.0)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (0.01)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SIL



LESL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LESL  Leslies (-0.83)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.84)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.86)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.88)


SIL News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.










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