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SQ Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Helium's implied volatility forecast shows increased confidence in SQ, paired with strong digital payment adoption trends, suggest a bullish outlook driven by potential earnings growth.



Bearish Case: Rising competition in fintech and recent volatility trends signal potential price pressure on SQ, possibly leading to negative performance amid market uncertainties.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued bullish momentum (45% probability);

2. Sideways movement due to volatility (30%);

3. Sharp decline due to competitive pressures (25%).



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread, specifically buying the SQ 11/15/2024 $84 calls while selling $90 calls. This capitalizes on elevated volatility with a defined risk profile, driving potential gains while market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic.


November 12, 2024











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SQ


CRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRM  Salesforce.Com (0.76)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.75)


CPA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPA  Copa (0.75)


APAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APAM  Artisan Partners Asset (0.73)


TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SQ


YOU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YOU  Clear Secure (0.0)


EME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EME  Emcor Group (0.0)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.0)


MS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MS  Morgan Stanley (0.0)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SQ


AOSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AOSL  Alpha & Omega Semiconductor (-0.42)


SFIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SFIX  Stitch Fix (-0.42)


BTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BTI  British American Tobacco (-0.44)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.45)


PFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PFE  Pfizer (-0.48)







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