Bullish Case: Insider transactions and increasing institutional stakes suggest confidence. E-commerce demand remains strong, supporting occupancy rates and rent growth for STAG Industrial.


Bearish Case: Potential economic downturn could decrease industrial space demand, increasing vacancy rates, and pressure yield. High dividend payout ratio may not be sustainable, threatening returns.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued demand drives further growth (60%);

2) Economic recession lowers occupancy, affecting yield (30%);

3) Interest rates rise, challenging valuations (10%).


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April 17, 2024


STAG Industrial Forecast

STAG        STAG Industrial
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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