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SUN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Given high implied volatility (140.6%) and a structurally bullish historical return pattern, underlying demand could elevate price. Continued strategic expansions and market recovery prospects positions SUN for upward movement.



Bearish Case: Implied volatility suggests market skepticism, alongside low trading volume and recent flat price action that could indicate stagnant growth or potential declines. Integration challenges may further exacerbate bearish sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 30% chance: Successful expansion boosts earnings significantly.

2. 40% chance: Stagnant trading conditions lead to flat growth.

3. 30% chance: Legal issues emerge, causing negative market reaction.

4. 20% chance: Unexpected favorable regulations enhance business outlook.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying SUN 11/15/2024 $52.50 calls and selling $55 calls. This capitalizes on high implied volatility for a strong upside while controlling risk. Expect potential returns of 192% with a timeframe of 1-2 months for market nuances to play out.


November 17, 2024











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SUN


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.77)


SVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SVXY  ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures (0.77)


PGNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGNY  Progyny (0.77)


IRTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRTC  iRhythm (0.76)


LKQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LKQ  LKQ (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SUN


IEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEI  BTC iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond (-0.0)


LTPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTPZ  PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded (-0.0)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (-0.0)


STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STAA  Staar Surgical (0.0)


CCOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCOI  Cogent Communications (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SUN


NEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEE  NextEra Energy (-0.7)


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (-0.71)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.71)


MAG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAG  MAG Silver (-0.71)


PAYO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYO  Payoneer (-0.72)







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