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SUN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SUN's diverse portfolio and ongoing green energy initiatives align with growing environmental regulations. The current low implied volatility offers attractive entry points for potential upside Helium[80].

Bearish Case: Ongoing concerns about oil price volatility and environmental regulatory compliance could dampen SUN's momentum. High implied volatility on puts signals market skepticism Helium[80].

Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful regulatory alignment boosts green initiatives (30%).

2. Environmental litigation issues arise (40%).

3. Moderate fluctuations due to oil prices (30%).

Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread, buying March 2025 $57.50 calls and selling $60 calls. This positions for a potential rebound, leveraging the currently low implied volatility observed . Timeframe: 1-2 months.

January 24, 2025

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SUN Sunoco

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SUN

DV DoubleVerify (0.75)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.74)

SONY Sony Group Corporation (0.71)

HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (0.71)

TREX TREX Co. (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SUN

OGN Organon (-0.0)

KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners (0.01)

ILMN Illumina (-0.01)

IGLB BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares 10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond (0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SUN

ORGN Origin Materials (-0.62)

PSFE Paysafe Limited (-0.63)

SO Southern (-0.66)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.67)

FE Firstenergy (-0.67)

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