SYF Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SYF's new retail partnerships boost growth potential, alongside a 14% increase in credit balances, supporting strong financial performance.




Bearish Case: Q1 challenges with declining purchase volumes and active accounts raise concerns over sustained revenue, potentially undermining recovery.




Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of recovery with partnerships; 40% downturn on earnings pressures; 30% flat due to market stability.




Trading Oracle: The SYF situation calls for a Bullish Short Volatility strategy. The flat implied volatility and recent bullish options activity support this approach, leveraging potential upside through short put spreads.



May 23, 2025


Synchrony Financial Forecast

SYF        Synchrony Financial











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SYF



HBAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HBAN  Huntington Bancshares (0.96)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.94)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.93)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.92)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SYF



CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (-0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.02)


BBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBY  Best Buy (0.02)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.03)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SYF



BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.62)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.65)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.68)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.71)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.76)









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