TAC Forecast


Bullish Case: TAC potentially benefits from its compelling value at an 18% free cash flow yield alongside technological advancements in TAC Heaters and anti-aging compounds, enhancing overall market sentiment [swimswam.com].


Bearish Case: Mean-reverting historical price, high market implied volatility, and negative correlation with AI forecasts suggest elevated downside risks despite current speculative bullish activity in options market [swimswam.com].


Potential Outcomes:

1. Market rally on technology/economic recovery (35%).

2. Continued mean reversion amidst volatility (50%).

3. Further declines driven by macroeconomic factors or negative earnings surprises (15%) [swimswam.com].


Trading Oracle: Deploy a Helium Short Volatility (credit spreads) strategy, capitalizing on the current high implied volatility and mean-reverting nature of TAC. Target $7.50 strike options with a 2-3 month time horizon for optimal reward:risk and high probability of profit.


July 01, 2024


Transalta Forecast

TAC      Transalta











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TAC



EXTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXTR  Extreme Networks (0.89)


SGML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SGML  Sigma Lithium (0.88)


IRBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRBT  Irobot (0.88)


BMBL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMBL  Bumble (0.87)


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TAC



LZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LZ  LegalZoom.com (-0.0)


OLMA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLMA  Olema Pharmaceuticals (0.0)


SKLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKLZ  Skillz (0.01)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.01)


CLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLX  Clorox (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TAC



AXON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXON  Axon Enterprise (-0.88)


MPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPC  Marathon Petroleum (-0.88)


NTNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTNX  Nutanix (-0.88)


XPO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPO  XPO Logistics (-0.89)


TM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TM  Toyota Motor (-0.9)





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