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AI TD Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Strong recovery in TD's U.S. operations and better regulatory outcomes could lead to elevated investor confidence. As volatility decreases, potential upside exists supported by the implied volatility surfaces suggesting lower risk.

Bearish Case: Continued regulatory scrutiny coupled with disappointing earnings from U.S. operations may lead to investor hesitance. High implied volatility suggests significant risk of price drops, particularly as near-term uncertainty persists.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong earnings due to improved U.S. business (25%).

2. Regulatory penalties leading to stock price drops (30%).

3. Continued flat performance causing investor fatigue (20%).

4. Market re-rating of TD due to macroeconomic factors (25%).

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September 05, 2024

Toronto Dominion Forecast

TD Toronto Dominion

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with TD

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SDGR Schrodinger (0.82)

JACK Jack In The Box (0.82)

AKAM Akamai (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TD

EQT EQT (-0.0)

BKR Baker Hughes (0.0)

SNAP Snapchat (0.0)

CIVI Civitas Resources Inc New (0.0)

BAM Brookfield Asset (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TD

BJ BJ's Wholesale Club (-0.71)

KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners (-0.73)

AR Antero Resources (-0.73)

ACGL Arch (-0.74)

SE Sea (-0.75)

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