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TLYS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TLYS's historical mean-reversion suggests potential for a rebound with improving retail sentiment and strategic shifts. This creates room for gains.

Bearish Case: Persistent retail sector challenges and declining historical returns highlight risks of further declines without substantial strategic changes.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of moderate recovery with strategic shifts; 30% risk of continued instability; 10% dramatic downturn due to retail challenges.

Trading Oracle: Deploy a bullish debit spread on TLYS, utilizing the 5.00/7.50 calls for April expiries. The strategy leverages high implied volatility for potential gains amid mean-reversion patterns. Optimal reward-to-risk ratio with short-term horizon for upside capture.

December 31, 2024

Tillys Forecast

TLYS Tillys

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TLYS

LEA Lear (0.93)

IEP Icahn (0.92)

XRX Xerox (0.92)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.92)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TLYS

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.0)

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.03)

UAN CVR Partners (0.05)

INTU Intuit (0.05)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TLYS

GLD SPDR Gold Shares (-0.91)

PPTA Perpetua Resources (-0.92)

BSX Boston Scientific (-0.93)

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.93)

AGX Argan (-0.93)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.