TPL Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: TPL's strategic assets and mean-reverting price trends suggest strong recovery potential, particularly if commodity prices improve and investor sentiment remains favorable.




Bearish Case: High customer concentration and commodity price volatility may lead to significant revenue fluctuations, with mean reversion indicating further downside risks amid macroeconomic uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued sector growth (60% chance)
  • Commodity price recovery (40% chance)
  • Increased volatility from high customer concentration (50% chance)
  • Market downturn impacting TPL revenues (35% chance)




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November 24, 2024


Texas Pacific Land Forecast

TPL        Texas Pacific Land











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PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.7)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPL



INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.0)


BRBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRBR  Bellring Brands (-0.0)


NNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NNDM  Nano Dimension Ltd (0.0)


JNPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNPR  Juniper Networks (0.0)


CIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIM  Chimera Investment (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPL



TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.71)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.73)


MU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MU  Micron Technology (-0.75)


TGB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGB  Taseko Mines (-0.76)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.77)









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