TRU Forecast


Bullish Case: TransUnion's ongoing expansion into DeFi markets, coupled with stabilized consumer lending, positions TRU for potential growth. Historical data shows significant upside, especially with a shift in positive market sentiments post recent earnings.


Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and cybersecurity concerns persist, undermining investor confidence. The high implied volatility indicates ongoing market uncertainty and could lead to unfavorable trading conditions for TRU, exacerbating recent performance stagnation.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Successful DeFi integration boosts stock by 40%.

2) Ongoing legal challenges decrease stock by 35%.

3) A market rotation towards safer assets leads to a 15% drop.

4) Strong earnings lead to a 25% rally.


Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish stance with a debit call spread, targeting strikes near $75, expiring in October 2024, capitalizing on current high implied volatility. This allows for significant upside potential while mitigating risk from regulatory uncertainties.


July 24, 2024


TransUnion Forecast

TRU      TransUnion











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TRU



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.56)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.35)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.03)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.03)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TRU



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.03)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.03)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.35)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.56)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TRU



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.56)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.35)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.03)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.03)





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