UDOW Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: UDOW's implied volatility surface indicates potential market underestimation with Helium model forecasting higher volatility. The recent price uptick and investor optimism on social media suggest growing bullish sentiment.




Bearish Case: Flat term structure with elevated implied volatility at lower strikes signals downside risks. High historical volatility and cautious investor sentiment on social media contribute to bearish perspectives.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. UDOW rises to $115 (45%): Volatility trend supports potential gains.
  2. Price stagnates at current levels (35%): Reflectively stable term structure.
  3. Dips to $100 (20%): Higher volatility at lower strikes hazard downside.




Trading Oracle: Sell a put credit spread: Sell the $104 put, buy two $93 puts. This strategy leverages Helium's bullish short volatility model with a positive edge, balancing high probability profits (72%) with manageable risk.



January 24, 2025


ProShares UltraPro Dow30 Forecast

UDOW        ProShares UltraPro Dow30











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UDOW



IVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVE  iShares S&P 500 Value (0.94)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.93)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.9)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.9)


TPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPG  TPG (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UDOW



PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (0.0)


ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (-0.01)


CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (0.01)


URBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URBN  Urban Outfitters (0.01)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UDOW



APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.75)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.76)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.79)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with UDOW


 Ask any question about UDOW!