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UNH Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: UNH's strategic position in Medicare Advantage, combined with growth in telehealth and a resilient financial structure, supports continued revenue growth despite short-term challenges.



Bearish Case: DOJ investigations into Medicare billing practices could lead to financial penalties, reputational harm, and increased regulatory scrutiny, weighing on UNH's shares.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. DOJ investigation results in fines (40%);
  2. Regulatory changes impact Medicare reimbursements (30%);
  3. Continued successful expansion in telehealth (30%).



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March 18, 2025


Unitedhealth Forecast

UNH        Unitedhealth

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CLH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLH  Clean Harbors (0.82)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.8)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.79)


LDOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LDOS  Leidos (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UNH


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.0)


PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.0)


AMZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMZN  Amazon.com (-0.01)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (-0.01)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UNH


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.72)


IRTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRTC  iRhythm (-0.74)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (-0.74)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.77)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)







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