UNH Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: UNH’s strong market position, robust revenue growth, and healthcare sector expansion indicate resilience and long-term potential, despite recent volatility.




Bearish Case: Potential regulatory impact and ongoing legal issues, along with high operational costs, could suppress UNH’s short-term performance.




Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued robust growth (50%)

2) Legal and regulatory setbacks (30%)

3) Significant market correction (20%)




Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish debit spread strategy. Initiate a $540/$550 call spread expiring in March 2025, taking advantage of the current flat term structure. This captures volatility compression and leverages positive market sentiment. Strategy provides high reward-to-risk with a positive expected edge.



January 15, 2025


Unitedhealth Forecast

UNH        Unitedhealth











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UNH



CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.82)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.8)


RDFN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RDFN  Redfin (0.79)


EXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXR  Extra Space Storage (0.79)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UNH



PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (0.0)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (0.01)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (-0.01)


TCMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TCMD  Tactile Systems Technology (-0.01)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UNH



TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (-0.71)


TRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRIP  TripAdvisor (-0.71)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.73)


NGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGL  NGL Energy Partners (-0.76)


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (-0.77)









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