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UPS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Stabilizing implied volatility and historical upward trends signal potential recovery. E-commerce demand may boost revenue.

Bearish Case: Flat price action and low trading volume highlight potential stagnation. Recent SEC penalty could deter investor confidence.

Potential Outcomes: 45%: Moderate gain with increased e-commerce demand. 30%: Stagnation due to low trading volume. 25%: Decline from operational inefficiencies.

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January 12, 2025

United Parcel Service, Inc. - Forecast

UPS United Parcel Service, Inc. -

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UPS

DIN Dine Brands (0.88)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.88)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.86)

WW WW International (0.85)

TRIP TripAdvisor (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UPS

INTU Intuit (-0.0)

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.0)

MCD McDonald's (-0.01)

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (0.01)

ILMN Illumina (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UPS

KO Coca-Cola (-0.78)

MLI Mueller Industries (-0.78)

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.78)

FLR Fluor (-0.78)

COOP Mr. Cooper (-0.8)

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