Bullish Case: URBN's rebound in Free People and Anthropologie, coupled with a mean reverting price action trend and recent price increase, indicates a potential upside movement.


Bearish Case: Recent underperformance in core brand, unfavourable comparisons to budget alternatives, and legal disputes signal possible continued pressure on URBN's stock price.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Brand turnaround success, 35%.

2. Continued Free People and Anthropologie growth, 60%.

3. Further legal or competitive difficulties, 30%.


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March 30, 2024


Urban Outfitters Forecast

URBN        Urban Outfitters
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






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BPOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BPOP]  Popular (0.92)


SKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SKT]  Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (0.92)


CRH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CRH]  CRH Plc (0.92)


COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [COOP]  Mr. Cooper (0.92)


CR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CR]  Crane (0.91)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to URBN



PLNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PLNT]  Planet Fitness (-0.0)


SIGA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SIGA]  SIGA (-0.0)


BA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BA]  Boeing (0.0)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ROK]  Rockwell Automation (0.0)


NVS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [NVS]  Novartis (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against URBN



VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VXX]  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.87)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DXD]  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.88)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SDOW]  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.88)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TECS]  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPXS]  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)





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