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USM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: USM's robust 5G investments and decreasing volatility suggest potential for upward momentum. Historical returns hint at positive future performance.

Bearish Case: High volume in puts and current backwardation indicate market caution. Customer dissatisfaction and operational challenges could negatively impact stock price.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued 5G success drives growth (30%).

2. Price stabilities with mean reversion (40%).

3. Operational challenges hamper growth (30%).

May 30, 2025

United States Cellular Forecast

USM United States Cellular

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USM

COMP Compass (0.86)

PPL PPL (0.84)

HOOD Robinhood Markets (0.82)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.82)

ORI Old Republic International (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USM

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.0)

FSLY Fastly (0.01)

HL Hecla Mining (-0.01)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.02)

OUST Ouster (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USM

ADNT Adient (-0.83)

MYGN Myriad Genetics (-0.83)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.84)

FSLR First Solar (-0.85)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.88)

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