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VIG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: VIG's recent stability in trading and high call volumes suggest potential price increase, supported by historical bullish trends within 1-2 year periods, especially with the upcoming dividends likely boosting sentiment.



Bearish Case: Market uncertainties, indicated by high implied volatility and the substantial bearish risk, may lead to corrective price movements as investors react to broader market dynamics and possible economic headwinds.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued upside movement to $210 (45% chance).

2) Sideways movement around $201 (30% chance).

3) Downward correction to $195 or lower (25% chance). Historical volatility correlates with these estimates, emphasizing recent patterns.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish call spread strategy, purchasing the $205 calls and selling the $210 calls. This positions for moderate upside with manageable risk, capitalizing on prevailing bullish sentiment and recent trading volume trends while allowing for some downward wiggle room.


November 13, 2024


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VIG        Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF

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VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.99)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.99)


DGRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRO  iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.99)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.99)


VYM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VYM  Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx (0.98)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VIG


EXTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXTR  Extreme Networks (-0.0)


TTEK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTEK  Tetra Tech (-0.0)


QRVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QRVO  Qorvo (0.0)


AMKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMKR  AMKOR Technology (-0.0)


STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STAA  Staar Surgical (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VIG


SAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVE  Spirit Airlines (-0.92)


SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.93)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.93)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.93)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.98)







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