VMI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: VMI exhibits strong growth potential with solid fundamentals and substantial investor interest in the infrastructure sector, supported by a historical mean-reverting price action and bullish option volume skew.




Bearish Case: High market-wide volatility and rising material costs could suppress VMI's performance. Elevated implied volatility for puts indicates market concerns, especially under potential economic pressures.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued growth due to infrastructure demand (60%).
  • Market volatility leads to price declines (30%).
  • Sideways movement from mean reversion (10%).




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February 15, 2025


Valmont Industries Forecast

VMI        Valmont Industries











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KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.96)


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FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (0.93)


AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VMI



NVST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVST  Envista (0.0)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.0)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (0.0)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (0.01)


IGLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGLB  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares 10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VMI



HDSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HDSN  Hudson Technologies (-0.9)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (-0.91)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.91)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.92)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)









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