VSAT Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Viasat (VSAT) could see substantial gains due to potential resolution of satellite issues and ongoing partnerships fueling defense sector growth, positioning it favorably for recovery in early 2025.




Bearish Case: Persistent satellite malfunctions and rising operational risks could lead to further declines in Viasat's stock price, exacerbated by high implied volatility reflecting market skepticism about recovery.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Satellite issue resolution: 40% probability;

2. Continued operational challenges: 30% probability;

3. Legal complications: 20% probability;

4. Strategic pivots yield minor gains: 10% probability.




Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish diagonal debit spread strategy, buying the VSAT 9.00C with high implied volatility and selling the 10.00C to hedge risk. This balances potential upside and minimizes capital outlay. Time outlook: short-term (1-3 months) to capitalize on anticipated recovery and increasing volatility.



November 13, 2024


Viasat Forecast

VSAT        Viasat











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