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VSAT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: If Viasat successfully resolves ongoing technical issues, leveraging defense contracts could drive a rally. Historical resilience in operations suggests investor confidence may rebuild, potentially driving price recovery.



Bearish Case: Persistent satellite issues and increased legal scrutiny could exacerbate market skepticism, pushing prices down further. Historical performance shows significant drawdowns, aligning with current underperformance.



Potential Outcomes: Successful issue resolution and leveraging defense contracts could result in significant upward movement (40%). Ongoing issues may exacerbate declines (35%). Legal challenges persist, increasing market wariness (25%).



Trading Oracle: Execute bearish short volatility using credit spreads. Sell 1 $10.0C, buy 2 $13.0C expiring ~29 days. Target downside protection with high implied volatility and positive edge (79% odds of profit).


February 21, 2025


Viasat Forecast

VSAT        Viasat

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SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.83)


CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (0.83)


DBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBI  Designer Brands (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VSAT


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.01)


VRNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNS  Varonis Systems (-0.02)


DQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DQ  Daqo New Energy (-0.02)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.03)


FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VSAT


MFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFC  Manulife Financial (-0.85)


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.85)


FTK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTK  Flotek Industries (-0.86)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.87)


AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.87)







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