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VSAT Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Viasat's proactive measures to resolve satellite issues and promising defense contracts may drive a substantial rebound in stock prices, restoring investor confidence and pushing the price towards the $14-$16 range by early 2025.



Bearish Case: Persisting satellite issues and legal challenges could lead to further declines in stock prices, potentially pushing VSAT below $9 as market sentiment remains cautious and volatility is elevated.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Successful resolution of satellite issues (40% probability).
  • Continued operational challenges leading to declines (30% probability).
  • Legal complications hamper market perception (20% probability).
  • Unexpected strategic shifts boost growth (10% probability).



Trading Oracle: Favor a bullish long volatility strategy by executing a debit spread: buy 1 $10.00 call and sell 1 $11.50 call. This captures gains from potential rebounds, considering elevated implied volatility. Alternatively, explore short volatility trades with credit spreads to hedge against downside risk, given the high uncertainty.


December 17, 2024


Viasat Forecast

VSAT        Viasat

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VSAT


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.86)


TWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWI  Titan International (0.85)


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (0.85)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.84)


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VSAT


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (-0.0)


WMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMT  Walmart (0.01)


UCTT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCTT  Ultra Clean Hldgs (-0.01)


UNIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNIT  Uniti (0.01)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VSAT


NRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRG  NRG Energy (-0.86)


AIQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AIQ  Global X Funds - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology (-0.87)


ORCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORCL  Oracle (-0.88)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.89)


HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (-0.89)







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