VSAT Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Successful resolution of satellite issues and increased demand for satellite internet could support a rebound, especially if partnerships with key sectors are expanded.




Bearish Case: Persistent operational and legal issues, combined with high uncertainty and flat recent performance, suggest continued downward pressure on VSAT.




Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of stabilization if issues resolve; 35% unresolved issues lower prices; 20% legal objections increase costs.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish credit spread by selling $9.0 strike calls and buying $11.0 calls with a ~37-day expiry. This provides a favorable reward-to-risk profile, capitalizing on high implied volatility and VSAT's current challenges.



January 16, 2025


Viasat Forecast

VSAT        Viasat











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VSAT



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.86)


CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (0.85)


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (0.84)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.84)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VSAT



BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNO  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (-0.01)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.01)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (0.02)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.02)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VSAT



VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (-0.87)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (-0.87)


MFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFC  Manulife Financial (-0.87)


AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.88)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.89)









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