VWAPY Forecast


Bullish Case: VW’s aggressive partnerships in China and advanced EV models like the ID.7 series, set to boost market share and profitability amidst the global EV push.


Bearish Case: Slowed EV demand in US and Europe, persistent technical issues, and competition could hinder VW’s EV rollout and financial performance significantly.


Potential Outcomes:

1. VW misses EV target by 2030 (61%).

2. Growing Chinese market share due to XPeng JV (40%).

3. Delayed SSP platform impacts investor sentiment (30%).

4. Costs cuts boost profitability (40%).


Trading Oracle: Lean slightly bullish with medium-term horizon. Trade debit spreads targeting a 6-month horizon. Capitalize on new model launches and strategic partnerships. Utilize long volatility spreads for high reward:risk ratio.


June 18, 2024


Volkswagen Forecast

VWAPY      Volkswagen











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