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WVE Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: WVE's innovative RNA therapies, coupled with strategic partnerships and trial advancements, suggest significant upside potential, particularly given mean-reversion tendencies and optimistic trial outcomes.



Bearish Case: Persistent volatility, regulatory uncertainties, and competitive pressures within the biotech space present significant risks, highlighting the potential for downside corrections, especially if trial results disappoint.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Successful trials boost price (30%).
  • Regulatory setbacks cause decline (25%).
  • Flat performance with minor volatility (20%).
  • Partnership breakthroughs spark interest (15%).
  • Market trends favor RNA techs, lifting prices (10%).



Trading Oracle: Leverage Bullish Long Volatility strategy by buying OOTM call options, offset by fewer further OOTM call options. The AI bullish forecast (0.99%), combined with high implied volatility, supports this convexity strategy. [Helium Strategy Link](https://heliumtrades.com/forecast/WVE/cheap-convexity/call)


March 12, 2025


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APO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APO  Apollo (0.82)


USB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USB  U.S. Bancorp. (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WVE


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (-0.0)


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (0.01)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.01)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (-0.01)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WVE


DK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DK  Delek US (-0.73)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.74)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.77)


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.78)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.81)







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