XLU Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong institutional interest and consistent dividend yield amid economic uncertainty support XLU's growth prospects. A flat term structure suggests controlled risk perception.




Bearish Case: High volatility divergence and potential market corrections indicate possible downward pressure on XLU. Bearish technical patterns reinforce this outlook.




Potential Outcomes: 55% gradual rise in XLU due to stability demand, 30% flat performance following mean reversion, 15% decline from economic shocks.




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June 06, 2025


Utilities Select Sector SPDR Forecast

XLU        Utilities Select Sector SPDR











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with XLU



ITA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITA  BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.84)


GWRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GWRE  Guidewire Software (0.82)


DFEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFEN  Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (0.79)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (0.78)


DVY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVY  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Select Dividend (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XLU



GEF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEF  Greif (0.0)


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (0.01)


FLYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLYW  Flywire (-0.01)


CUBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CUBE  CubeSmart (0.01)


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XLU



BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.6)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.61)


AMCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMCX  AMC Networks (-0.64)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.69)


ELF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ELF  e.l.f. Beauty (-0.71)









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