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YOU Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong demand for digital identity solutions with a 31.6% yearly uptick Helium supports bullish sentiment. Elevated call option volume and historical mean reversion bolster this view.

Bearish Case: Recent struggles with sustainable dividend payout and historical returns suggest potential downside. High implied volatility at low strike prices indicates market apprehension.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Market stabilization supports 60% chance of $30 target.

2. Economic pressures and policy shifts suggest 30% downside. ]

Trading Oracle: Optimal strategy favors bullish long debit spreads given high call volumes and mean-reverting behavior. Buy YOU 01/17/2025 26.13 C, sell 31.00 C, expiring ~12 months. Captures potential upside while leveraging favorable implied volatility.

January 02, 2025

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YOU Clear Secure

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with YOU

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.88)

ICF BTC iShares Cohen & Steers REIT (0.88)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.88)

COMM CommScope (0.87)

PSN Parsons (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to YOU

IAC IAC InterActiveCorp. (0.02)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.02)

TMDX Transmedics (0.02)

JOE St. Joe (-0.02)

GTLB Gitlab (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against YOU

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.78)

INDI Indie Semiconductor (-0.81)

ALV Autoliv (-0.82)

ETR Entergy (-0.82)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.82)

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