UGA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Decreasing implied volatility and strong historical returns suggest positive momentum. High call volume reflects bullish sentiment, pointing towards potential short-term gains.




Bearish Case: Flat recent price action and high implied volatility in puts indicate market skepticism. Geopolitical tensions could trigger downside risks and corrections.




Potential Outcomes:
1. Price rise to $70 (60%) - driven by bullish sentiment and decreasing volatility.

2. Stabilization around $66 (30%) - as the market adjusts.

3. Price drop below $65 (10%) - from external pressures.



June 20, 2025


United States Commodity Funds Forecast

UGA        United States Commodity Funds











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UGA



USO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USO  United States Commodity Funds (0.93)


CHCT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHCT  Community Healthcare (0.66)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.63)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.62)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.62)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UGA



MCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCO  Moody's (-0.0)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (-0.0)


BLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLK  Blackrock (-0.01)


FLGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLGT  Fulgent Genetics (0.01)


UPWK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPWK  Upwork (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UGA



NGG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGG  National Grid (-0.52)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.57)


CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (-0.58)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.66)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.95)









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