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PHD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PHD could achieve moderate returns due to historical mean reversion and its floating rate structure, offering resilience against rate hikes.

Bearish Case: Concerns over management fees and broader economic impacts on floating rates may lead to stagnation or decline, especially if macro pressures increase.

Potential Outcomes: Moderate gains (55%): historical mean reversion; Stagnation (35%): economic pressures; Decline (10%): macro shocks.

April 27, 2025

Pioneer Floating Rate Forecast

PHD Pioneer Floating Rate

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PHD

ALGN Align Technology (0.77)

TK Teekay (0.74)

FDMT 4D Molecular Therapeutics (0.73)

AMD Advanced Micro Devices (0.71)

STM New York Shares (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PHD

AME Ametek (-0.0)

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (-0.01)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (-0.01)

HRI Herc (0.01)

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PHD

CALM Cal-Maine Foods (-0.57)

AGI Alamos Gold (-0.58)

LNG Cheniere Energy (-0.6)

LRN Stride (-0.62)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.7)

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