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IBM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: IBM's $150B U.S. investment and strong AI/cloud focus, alongside a 116% price increase over 2 years, underscore growth potential amidst low historical returns volatility.

Bearish Case: Continued insider selling, insider skepticism, and market competition could strain IBM's ambitious $150B investment, impacting future stability and returns.

Potential Outcomes: AI/cloud growth sparks uptrend (35%)
Insider selling spurs downside (45%)
Stable market balancing (20%)

May 15, 2025

International Business Machines Forecast

IBM International Business Machines

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IBM

COMP Compass (0.92)

UNM Unum (0.91)

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (0.89)

PPL PPL (0.88)

BABA Alibaba (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IBM

ETR Entergy (-0.0)

O Realty Income (0.01)

IMO Imperial Oil (0.02)

PLD Prologis (-0.02)

HL Hecla Mining (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IBM

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.86)

ASH Ashland (-0.86)

CVE Cenovus Energy (-0.86)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.88)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.88)

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