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IBM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: IBM's advancements in AI, cloud, and quantum computing, paired with strategic partnerships, prime it for growth. Low-term volatility suggests stable gains.

Bearish Case: Ongoing insider sales and high debt raise concerns. Market skepticism over IBM's competitive pace, along with recent layoffs, increase downside risk.

Potential Outcomes: 1. AI/cloud growth boosts IBM (40%)
2. Insider selling causes decline (35%)
3. Stable trading amid mixed signals (25%)

April 18, 2025

International Business Machines Forecast

IBM International Business Machines

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IBM

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (0.93)

TVTX Travere Therapeutics (0.88)

EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises (0.87)

AGI Alamos Gold (0.87)

SATS EchoStar (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IBM

SG Sweetgreen (0.0)

H Hyatt Hotels (-0.01)

ROIV Roivant Sciences (0.01)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.02)

RMBS Rambus (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IBM

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.87)

ADNT Adient (-0.87)

CRON Cronos (-0.87)

ASH Ashland (-0.89)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.91)

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