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ABUS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Upcoming Phase 2b trial could significantly enhance ABUS valuation, leveraging recent optimism and positive legal developments.

Bearish Case: Ongoing legal conflicts and high implied volatility suggest possible setbacks. Past underperformance shows potential for continued price decline.

Potential Outcomes: 40% positive trial outcome; 30% favorable legal resolution; 30% adverse outcomes; note high volatility correlations.

Trading Oracle: Utilize bullish debit spreads focusing on June 2025 calls (4.00C and 5.00C). High implied volatility indicates strong movement potential. Target trial results period for optimal alpha extraction. This plan manages risk with positive reward:risk.

February 08, 2025

Arbutus Biopharma Forecast

ABUS Arbutus Biopharma

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ABUS

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V Visa (-0.0)

FCX Freeport-McMoRan (0.01)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ABUS

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.83)

WST West Pharmaceutical Services (-0.84)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.84)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.85)

NGL NGL Energy Partners (-0.86)

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