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AIG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AIG shows growth potential with a low P/B ratio of 0.8 and strong insider buying, supported by call option volume up 56% over puts.

Bearish Case: Persistently low market interest and a backwardated implied volatility term structure signal limited upside and potential stagnation.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Growth from undervaluation and insider confidence (40%).

2. Stagnation due to low interest (35%).

3. Downturn from market volatility (25%).

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December 26, 2024

American International Forecast

AIG American International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AIG

DELL Dell (0.71)

APH Amphenol (0.68)

XOP SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.64)

XLB Active Trust - Materials Select Sector SPDR (0.64)

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.63)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AIG

INTU Intuit (-0.0)

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (-0.0)

EXR Extra Space Storage (-0.01)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.01)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AIG

PYCR Paycor HCM (-0.37)

GL Globe Life (-0.38)

CNXC Concentrix (-0.41)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.54)

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (-0.55)

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