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ALLY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ALLY's focus on digital banking and auto finance, combined with strong call option volumes and a favorable price-to-book ratio, indicate growth potential.



Bearish Case: Volatility in the auto loan market and potential economic downturns, combined with high implied volatility, pose risks to ALLY's stability and profitability.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Earnings beat expectations: 30% chance
  • Interest rate pressures margins: 40% chance
  • Continued flat trend: 30% chance



Trading Oracle: Bearish Short Volatility selected due to high implied volatility and a flat price trend. Selling ATM call options and buying OTM call options captures potential volatility crush, aligning with high odds of profit.


April 13, 2025


Ally Financial Forecast

ALLY        Ally Financial

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALLY


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (0.79)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.72)


CHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHX  ChampionX (0.69)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.69)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALLY


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.0)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.0)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.01)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.01)


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALLY


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.58)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.58)


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (-0.58)


CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CB  Chubb (-0.62)


SMMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMMT  Summit Therapeutics (-0.65)







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