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ALLY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ALLY's focus on digital banking and auto finance, combined with strong call option volumes and a favorable price-to-book ratio, indicate growth potential.



Bearish Case: Volatility in the auto loan market and potential economic downturns, combined with high implied volatility, pose risks to ALLY's stability and profitability.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Earnings beat expectations: 30% chance
  • Interest rate pressures margins: 40% chance
  • Continued flat trend: 30% chance



Trading Oracle: Bearish Short Volatility selected due to high implied volatility and a flat price trend. Selling ATM call options and buying OTM call options captures potential volatility crush, aligning with high odds of profit.


April 13, 2025


Ally Financial Forecast

ALLY        Ally Financial

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALLY


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.72)


CLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLW  Clearwater Paper (0.71)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.69)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (0.63)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALLY


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.0)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.0)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (0.0)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.01)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALLY


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (-0.57)


ZLAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZLAB  Zai Lab (-0.57)


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (-0.58)


SMMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMMT  Summit Therapeutics (-0.59)


BBW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBW  Build A Bear Workshop (-0.59)







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