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ARVN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ARVN's potential in protein degradation technology, combined with existing partnerships, may enable unexpected clinical successes, boosting investor confidence and price.

Bearish Case: The recent cancellation of trials and market volatility suggest ongoing challenges, keeping downward pressure on ARVN's stock valuation in the short term.

Potential Outcomes: Successful trial resumption boosts price by 50% (30%).
Extended delays reduce price by 40% (45%).
Market stabilization maintains current levels (25%).

Trading Oracle: The bearish long volatility strategy leverages high implied volatility amid regulatory uncertainty. Buying OOTM puts can secure substantial return opportunities. Consider this strategy for detailed actions.

May 06, 2025

Arvinas Forecast

ARVN Arvinas

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARVN

ASH Ashland (0.9)

ODP ODP (0.9)

CABA Cabaletta Bio (0.88)

AEO American Eagle Outfitters (0.87)

CVE Cenovus Energy (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARVN

RMBS Rambus (-0.0)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.01)

ROK Rockwell Automation (-0.02)

WMG Warner Music (0.02)

KKR KKR (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARVN

PPL PPL (-0.77)

LNG Cheniere Energy (-0.77)

UNM Unum (-0.78)

ORI Old Republic International (-0.81)

LRN Stride (-0.83)

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