ASH Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ASH's strategic sales and focus on core competencies may drive profitability and recovery, particularly with improved sector demand.




Bearish Case: ASH's declining revenue trajectory and high competition could further strain financial performance and inhibit stock recovery.




Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of moderate recovery as strategic realignments pay off; 50% continued stagnation due to market pressure; 20% possible downturn from competition.




Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish credit spread by selling OTM calls around $70 due May 2025. This takes advantage of current elevated implied volatility and lacks significant bullish momentum. A 2-3 month horizon aligns with risk profiles, expecting profit from time decay and limited upward price movement.



February 21, 2025


Ashland Forecast

ASH        Ashland











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