ASLE Forecast


Bullish Case: ASLE's executive compensation changes could signal confidence, aligning interests with shareholders and potentially catalyzing growth, especially if the market perceives successful strategic moves ahead.


Bearish Case: Recent industry rankings and negative earnings forecasts suggest sustained bearish pressure, compounded by high implied volatility indicating market uncertainty and risk of further declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1. ASLE rebounds to $8 (30%);

2. Flattens at $7 (20%);

3. Declines below $6 (50%);

4. High volatility leads to erratic movements (40%). Recent trends indicate variable sentiment amid structural challenges.


Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a bullish debit spread by buying ASLE 08/16/2024 7.50 C and simultaneously selling a higher strike call. High implied volatility supports this strategy, aiming for early September gains as earnings news approaches.


July 25, 2024


AerSale Forecast

ASLE      AerSale











Correlated Assets

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WW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WW  WW International (0.92)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.9)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (0.9)


FWRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FWRD  Forward Air (0.88)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ASLE



DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (0.0)


SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (0.0)


BILI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BILI  Bilibili (0.01)


VEEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VEEV  Veeva Systems (-0.01)


DINO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DINO  HF Sinclair (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ASLE



TXRH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXRH  Texas Roadhouse (-0.91)


SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (-0.91)


VITL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VITL  Vital Farms (-0.92)


DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.92)


ADMA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADMA  Adma Biologics (-0.93)





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