BK Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BK's digital transformation and strong dividend growth attract investors, supported by increased market activity and strategic partnerships.




Bearish Case: BK faces downside risk from high put volume, regulatory hurdles, and declining market sentiment amid economic uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50%: Strategic investments boost BK's growth.
  • 30%: Regulatory issues hinder performance.
  • 20%: Market forces stabilize BK price.




Trading Oracle:
Utilizing the bullish short volatility strategy is advisable, given the term structure's stability and BK's historical mean-reversion. Link to Helium Trades Strategy.



May 21, 2025


Bank Of New York Mellon Forecast

BK        Bank Of New York Mellon











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BK



XLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLF  Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.97)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.95)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (0.93)


NDAQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NDAQ  Nasdaq (0.91)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BK



ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.0)


FLYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLYW  Flywire (-0.0)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.0)


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (0.0)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BK



STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.83)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.84)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.84)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.84)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.85)









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