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BK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BK's strategic investments and solid AUM growth signal promising returns. Volatility decline and potential M&A further support bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and regulatory hurdles could heighten risk, casting doubt on BK's ability to sustain recent growth.

Potential Outcomes:

1. M&A success bolsters BK (40%).

2. Regulatory changes hinder growth (30%).

3. Geopolitical instability affects markets (30%).

June 26, 2025

Bank Of New York Mellon Forecast

BK Bank Of New York Mellon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BK

XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.96)

PAYX Paychex (0.95)

SAP Sap SE (0.95)

BMO Bank of Montreal (0.95)

ADP Automatic Data Processing (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BK

CVX Chevron (0.0)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.01)

FE Firstenergy (-0.02)

ANET Arista Networks (-0.02)

EA Electronic Arts (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BK

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.8)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.81)

REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (-0.81)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.81)

KSS Kohl's (-0.83)

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